A World
Full of “Features”…
I have a cell phone that came with a ninety-page instruction manual. It
has a built in camera and lots of sophisticated “features” for
storing phone numbers, various shortcuts for dialing, text messaging,
and of course taking photos. Of the ninety-pages’ worth
of instructions, I regularly use maybe three. For me it’s
a phone, not a camera or an Internet appliance. I haven’t
taken the time to enter other people’s phone numbers or acquired
any special ring tones.
I have a digital camera. It is also chock-full of “features”. When
the first single-lens reflex 35mm film cameras were introduced,
the world was an elegantly simple place. All one had to remember
was to set the f-stop, the shutter speed, and focus on the subject
of interest. Most of us could remember to do these three
things so we could concentrate on the process of making beautiful
images. Then came automatic exposure, automatic focus, built-in
flash, and zoom lenses. Some of those capabilities were useful – especially
for people who just wanted to point-and-shoot and didn’t
know enough about light levels and shutter speeds to take adequately
exposed family photos. But now, my relatively modest digital
camera has a one hundred fifty page user’s manual. There
are six pages devoted just to a listing of all the menu
options. I have to carry the manual with me because I cannot
remember where in the multi-level menus some of the options are
buried. And even then I am using maybe one-third of all these
wonderful “features”. And here I thought I was
a pretty sophisticated photographer!
I have a car that is in its seventh year of life. It too
has many “features”. When purchasing this vehicle,
I did not request these “features”. They were
considered standard equipment that according to the salesman had
proven to be virtual necessities in these 2000-year models. Many
of these “features” are dependent on various electronic
modules. Well, I suppose it should be no surprise that the
reliability of these modules can sometimes leave one a bit frustrated – as
well as stranded somewhere other than at a repair facility. It
also seems that the car manufacturers have figured out that replacing
these specialized “modules” can be a nice profit maker – perhaps
even more lucrative than the sale of the original vehicle. How
can a part that is made from a two-inch aluminum cylinder with
a simple semiconductor sensor mounted on a couple of wires across
one end be worth $350? That is an excellent question – it
seems to me.
Last week, I was requested to do some tests on a new LCD flat-panel
television. I looked on the back where I needed to make a
simple video connection. I was greeted with an array of input
possibilities. There was a cable connection, VGA, DVI,
and HDMI sockets, an optical input connector, a full complement
of RGB input plugs, a single video input, and several audio inputs. I
understand that versatility is good, but aren’t we getting
a bit carried away?
Given the complexity of these already existing products, surely
we must be reaching the saturation point for adding more features
to the devices that we already mostly don’t know how to use. If
you are seriously thinking that we are indeed approaching such
an asymptote, you must have been -- or still are -- living on some
other planet. Having met the basic functionality requirements
of just about every product that human creativity can envision,
the trend is now to ever more complexity – namely more “features”. Reliability
and operational elegance have taken a backseat in this competition
for the consumers’ attention.
More “features” are the driving force for market place
success: Cell phones that have ever more computational and text
messaging capabilities than the ones we have just barely learned
to use; Cameras that can process and modify photographs even before
down loading to a computer or printer; Cars that can park with
no driver assistance and have a myriad of ever more complex performance,
sensory, and entertainment features; And computers that have operating
systems so complex and bloated that no one can understand how they
operate or how to select the features we truly need and want.
No matter how much attention has been given to making each additional
component reasonably reliable, when the complexity rises to this
level, failures will occur. Repairability will become an
even more serious – and expensive --problem. It already
is a problem. Component level repair is not possible with
IC chips using hundreds of input/output connections wave-soldered
onto boards full of other surface mounted components. Not
only that, most of these modules are custom made for a specific
product. Board-level repair then becomes the only viable
path, but this depends on the future availability of these custom
boards. Once manufacturers decide to obsolete a board there
is unlikely to be any other source of supply.
We are most likely entering a new era where there will be no functioning
products older than ten years. In the year 2030 there will
be no operating cars from the first decade of this century, no
cameras that can still take pictures, and no old televisions that
we can maintain (or restore) and enjoy. We will still have
cars, cameras, and electronic devices from the 20th century, but
not from the 21st. There will, of course, be some examples
sitting in museums, but they will no longer be operational or maintainable. We
are entering the era of the “throw away” society.
Can this really happen? Well, there is a rather nice historical
example of a product that did not last as expected. Some
years ago, when color negative film was first introduced to the
market most users did not realize that the film did not have acceptable
archival capabilities. Images made by amateurs and professionals
alike began to fade within a few short years. This problem
was gradually solved, but in photography circles this time period
is known as the “lost decade” because the photographs
taken with color negative film during those early years have literally
vanished. (It’s a good thing that B&W film
and color slide film were still in use). Just think, someday
-- in about 2035 -- you will think back wistfully on the car that
you drove back in the year 2010. You will only have your
digital pictures to remind you of that time. There will be
no 25-year old cars on the road. There will also be no 25-year
old cameras, or phones, or anything else that depends on custom
designed electronic modules – which is just about everything
operational.
Isn’t it a good thing that our houses and furniture are
not equally dependent on such “features” – or
is that time coming also? Yikes, what a scary thought! Now
I’m really getting worried.
Are you prepared for this world of customized electronic modules
and specialized software controlling most of what you do? Let
me know your plans for coping with this new era of products that
have more “features” than you can possibly learn or
remember how to use. You can contact me directly from this
site, by e-mail at silzar@attglobal.net,
by telephone at 425-898-9117, or by fax at 425-898-1727.
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